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Polymarket Predicts 10% Odds of Bitcoin Reaching $1M in 2025

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

a day ago


Despite some traders’ forecasts for Bitcoin's future in 2025, the likelihood of it reaching the $1 million mark remains low.

Current Bitcoin Expectations

The majority of market participants believe that Bitcoin will surpass $75,000 by the end of the current quarter, with a 34% probability. The probability of reaching $70,000 stands at 16%. The chances of Bitcoin climbing to $95,000 are 22%, while the odds of hitting $100,000 are 10%.

Probabilities of Reaching Targets

The likelihood of Bitcoin reaching $110,000 sits at a mere 2%, and for $120,000, it is just 1%. Dreamers eyeing $150,000 or even $200,000 are looking at probabilities below 1%.

Financial Activity and Current Trends

Currently, $4.5 million has been wagered on various outcomes, proving there is still hope among some traders for a significant breakout. However, Bitcoin is currently trading at $83,102, down 1.41% from yesterday. Its market cap is holding steady at $1.64 trillion, but trading volume has decreased by 32.11%, indicating a quieter market.

Despite the optimistic hopes of some traders, most market participants are expecting a gradual rise for Bitcoin, rather than a sharp price spike.

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