The blockchain-based prediction platform Polymarket is close to completing a $200 million investment round, which will elevate its valuation to $1 billion.
Investment Round and Valuation
According to Reuters and Bloomberg, the investment round, expected to involve Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund, will significantly elevate the company's valuation to approximately $1 billion, marking its first time reaching unicorn status.
Growth Amid Regulatory Challenges
In 2024, the platform witnessed significant growth, particularly during the U.S. presidential elections, when monthly trading volume peaked at $2.5 billion. Despite a 56% decline to $1.1 billion in May 2025, the platform continues to show robust trading volumes. Planned actions on the platform include bets on geopolitical events and legislative outcomes.
Partnership with Platform X and Market Competition
Polymarket has formed a strategic partnership with Elon Musk's platform X to integrate decentralized prediction markets with the Grok AI chatbot. This collaboration could enhance the significance of algorithmic event analysis, although it faces regulatory risks both in the U.S. and abroad. Competition with Kalshi intensifies market pressure.
If the anticipated investments close successfully, Polymarket could not only secure its status as a crypto unicorn but also showcase the viability of blockchain-based prediction markets. Partnerships with influential figures may foster broader popularity for such services.