Possible Trade Conflict: Effects of Trump's Decisions

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

2 years ago

A closer look at Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs and their potential consequences for the global economy.

New Tariffs and Their Impact

Donald Trump announced plans for a 25% tariff on goods from Canada and Mexico and 10% on Chinese imports. These countries are the largest trading partners of the U.S., with imports totaling over $1.2 trillion in 2023. Economists warn such tariffs may drive inflation and interest rates up, leading to higher consumer prices.

Tariffs are paid by importers, not the countries that export the goods.

Impact on Currency Markets

Trump's aggressive trade policies have already affected currency markets. On Thursday, the USD/JPY pair dropped, with the Japanese yen strengthening by 2% against a weaker dollar. This indicates a move towards safe haven assets and a long-term bearish trend for the dollar.

Reaction of the U.S. Federal Reserve

The U.S. Federal Reserve's minutes confirmed that inflation is moving towards the 2% target. Plans to lower interest rates are aimed at supporting economic growth and labor market recovery.

Trump's initiatives could significantly impact the global economy and currency markets, necessitating close monitoring of the administration's next steps.

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