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Price Bitcoin is Predicted to Decline to US$42,000, Here's Why

Apr 29, 2024

Recently, top crypto experts have analyzed the fluctuating price of Bitcoin (BTC), currently ranging between US$63,000 and US$61,000, predicting a significant drop. This potential decrease comes after a period of significant oscillation within this price range, raising concerns among investors about the stability and future direction of Bitcoin.

Concerns Over Bitcoin Price Support

According to BeinCrypto's report, popular technical analyst DonAlt highlighted the vulnerability of the support range of US$63,000 - US$61,000 due to frequent tests, which could weaken this crucial price threshold.

"This means Bitcoin is back at the same old levels between US$63,000 and US$61,000. The more often it's tested, the more likely it is to break. I think even the bulls want a shot under it at this point," DonAlt said.

This scenario suggests that even optimistic investors are preparing for the possibility of falling to lower levels, possibly around US$52,000 or US$46,000.

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DonAlt also noted that this market correction may serve as a necessary shake-up to remove the overconfidence that often pervades the crypto market after a long period of price increases.

During such times, investors may become overly optimistic, ignoring potential risks and reducing market caution. This overconfidence can lead to a decrease in trading volume and increase vulnerability to sudden market corrections.

"I believe the crypto market is in overconfidence until proven otherwise or until US$68,000 is claimed back or the range is lost and then reclaimed," he added.

This statement emphasizes the importance of significant market movements in establishing new support or resistance levels.

Alternative Perspective from Other Analysts

Conversely, analyst Murad Mahmudov offers a slightly different perspective, focusing on short-term market movements within a specific range that will determine Bitcoin's fate.

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Mahmudov's analysis revolves around the critical question of whether the market is in a re-accumulation or re-distribution phase.

"I expect continued defense in the purple box until summer. In that box, you should look for clues whether this is re-accumulation or re-distribution. Re-accumulation could lead to a bullish breakthrough to US$100,000. However, re-distribution could send Bitcoin down to US$52,000 or US$42,000 or US$32,000," he revealed.

Although these bearish forecasts may seem daunting, analyst Lark Davis offers a glimmer of hope by highlighting the increasing institutional interest in Bitcoin.

Recent reports indicate that the oldest bank in America and Morgan Stanley are involved with Bitcoin ETFs, demonstrating the growing acceptance of Bitcoin among traditional financial institutions.

Furthermore, upcoming Bitcoin ETF trading in Hong Kong could trigger significant interest across Asia, potentially offsetting retail investors' hesitancy.

"If you still feel bearish, you need to know this... While retail investors like you are shying away from Bitcoin, more institutional investors are joining in," Davis stated.

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