Raoul Pal, CEO of Real Vision, has revisited a familiar macroeconomic pattern that he believes will emerge again in 2025. He draws parallels between the post-election environments of 2016 and 2024.
Analysis of Macroeconomic Situation
Pal noted that the dollar surged immediately after Trump's victory, followed by a sharp reversal signaling changing financial conditions. He stated, 'The dollar ripped in the back end of 2016, it ripped in the back end of 2024,' indicating a tightening in financial conditions typically seen in markets about three months later.
Raoul Pal's Prediction and XRP Rally
This situation is linked to past conditions under which XRP sharply rose in value. Pal emphasized that dollar volatility and pressure on currency create conditions similar to those that allowed XRP to surge nearly 30,000% during the 2017-2018 period.
Potential Upside Scenario
Currently, XRP is trading at $2.3. Some experts speculate that if XRP were to repeat even a fraction of its previous growth, it would lead to significant changes. For instance, a 1,000% increase would push its price to $25.3, while a complete repeat of the 30,000% surge could theoretically raise it to $692.3.
As the dollar weakens and Trump potentially repeats past policy patterns, XRP is regaining investor attention, which could set the stage for significant growth.