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Rising U.S. Treasury Yields May Pressure Cryptocurrencies

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by A1

2 days ago


The recent rise in U.S. Treasury yields places pressure on the cryptocurrency market, including Bitcoin, despite its previous successes.

Impact of Rising Treasury Yields on Bitcoin

Bitcoin has seen significant growth over the past years, reaching record highs in December 2023. A key driver of this growth has been substantial ETF inflows. However, the cryptocurrency market faces threats due to rising U.S. Treasury yields following the Federal Reserve's recent decision to cut rates by 0.25%. This could negatively impact risky assets like Bitcoin.

I’ve argued that most asset markets appear overvalued, bordering on frothy. Stocks, corporate bonds, single family housing, crypto and gold, quickly come to mind. But what could be the catalyst for them to selloff? How about a meaningful correction in the Treasury bond market.Mark Zandi (@Markzandi)

Current Market Conditions Analysis

Rising U.S. Treasury yields prompt investors to shift from risky assets to safer options. This is evidenced by money market fund assets rising to $6.83 trillion. Conversely, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies perform better when Treasury yields fall.

Bitcoin Outlook and Technical Analysis

In the short term, Bitcoin could continue to show positive performance due to the January effect and other factors such as FTX inflows and changes in SEC leadership. Technically, Bitcoin is supported by an ascending trendline and the 50-day moving average.

Bitcoin faces significant challenges due to changes in financial markets. However, its real outlook depends on numerous factors, including macroeconomic policies and internal market trends.

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