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Schiff's Prediction: Bitcoin May Fall 85% with NASDAQ Bear Market

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

5 hours ago


Renowned economist Peter Schiff has predicted that Bitcoin could fall 85% if the NASDAQ enters a bear market.

Bourse Down 12%

Peter Schiff noted the NASDAQ was currently down 12% and suggested that it could affect Bitcoin. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $83,235.82, experiencing a slight decrease, according to CoinMarketCap data. This is significantly lower than the all-time high of $109,200 on January 20, 2025. As concerns about market volatility grow, there is fear this may impact broader cryptocurrency markets.

If this correction turns out to be a bear market and the correlation where a 12% decline in the NASDAQ equates to a 24% decline in Bitcoin holds, when the NASDAQ is down 20%, Bitcoin will be about $65K.Peter Schiff

Bitcoin Could Fall Below $20K

Furthering his pessimism, Peter Schiff suggested that if the NASDAQ were to enter a bear market, historical data shows it could be much steeper. He cited the Dot-Com bubble, the 2008 financial crisis, and the COVID-19 pandemic, where respective falls were significant. The average decline from these bear markets was about 55%.

If this bear market bottoms with just a 40 percent decline, which would put Bitcoin at about $20K. However, a drop of that magnitude would accelerate Bitcoin’s collapse to much lower levels.Peter Schiff

Divergence between Gold and Bitcoin

Peter Schiff also observed a divergence between gold and Bitcoin. As Bitcoin faces a crisis, gold is reportedly showing positive trends with an inverse relationship to NASDAQ, having surged by 13% since its 2023 peak. If the NASDAQ were to decline by 40%, gold could reach $3,800 per ounce, further distancing itself from Bitcoin's volatility. The economist argues that this divergence challenges the notion of Bitcoin as 'digital gold'.

Despite Bitcoin's recent 121% market value increase in 2024, Peter Schiff remains firmly bearish, asserting that Bitcoin’s price will fall while gold will rise. Market history, however, shows the digital asset persisting and thriving despite negative forecasts.

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