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The Risks of Decreasing Prices: Influence on Economic Security

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

8 months ago


  1. What is Deflation?
  2. Impact on Businesses and Jobs
  3. Impact on Borrowers

  4. The price drop may seem like good news for consumers, but it often hides complex and potentially negative economic implications. In finance, this phenomenon is often associated with deflation, a situation where falling prices lead to a reduction in consumption and investments, creating a vicious cycle that is difficult to break.

    What is Deflation?

    Deflation is characterized by a general decline in prices and wages over several quarters. Unlike inflation, which erodes purchasing power, deflation encourages consumers to delay their purchases in the hope of even lower prices in the future. This expectation reduces overall demand, prompting businesses to cut back on production and lay off employees, thereby exacerbating unemployment.

    Impact on Businesses and Jobs

    When prices fall, companies see their profit margins shrink. They are then forced to cut costs, often by laying off employees or reducing salaries. This reduction in household income leads to a further decrease in consumption, fueling the deflationary spiral. Moreover, companies are hesitant to invest in new projects, which hampers innovation and financial growth.

    The reduction in household income leads to a further decrease in consumption, fueling the deflationary spiral.

    Impact on Borrowers

    Deflation has detrimental effects on borrowers. While the value of acquired assets decreases, the nominal value of debts remains the same, increasing the relative burden of debt. This can lead to an increase in defaults and greater financial instability. For the state, deflation means a reduction in tax revenues, which limits its ability to fund social programs and public investments. The reduction in public spending can then worsen the economic situation by further reducing overall demand.

    Although the decline in prices may seem beneficial in the short term, it can have serious financial consequences in the long term. Deflation reduces consumption, hinders investments, and increases unemployment, creating a vicious cycle that is difficult to break. It is therefore crucial to understand these dynamics to better grasp current and future economic challenges.

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