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The Evolution of BRICS: A Transformative Economic Force

Jun 11, 2024

The Evolution of BRICS Bloc

The BRICS bloc, originally composed of Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa, has undergone a significant metamorphosis. By extending a welcoming hand to Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE), BRICS has evolved into a formidable economic entity, hinting at a potential shift in the global hierarchy. This expansion has sparked enthusiasm for a multipolar world, especially as Saudi Arabia's inclusion looms on the horizon. The enlarged consortium now embodies a collective population of 3.5 billion individuals, representing 45% of the global populace. Moreover, the combined economies of these nations amount to over $28.5 trillion or approximately 28% of the world's GDP. Noteworthy is the fact that with the addition of Iran, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE, accompanied by Russia's substantial crude oil production, the BRICS+ conglomerate now commands an estimated 44% share of the world's crude oil output.

Increased Interest: BRICS as a Counterbalance?

Recent remarks by Russia's Presidential Spokesman, Dmitry Peskov, acknowledging the 'significant interest' in BRICS, underscore the necessity for establishing membership criteria. This surge in appeal finds resonance in Bolivian President Luis Arce's emphasis on BRICS' contribution to fostering a 'fairer and more equitable' global order. Such sentiments mirror a global inclination towards seeking alternatives to existing power structures. Furthermore, Turkey's active participation in the latest BRICS meeting signals its desire to align with the bloc, potentially setting the stage for deeper cooperation and expansion.

A Unified Currency: Exploring CBDCs as Foundations

A number of BRICS members, particularly China, the UAE, and Russia, are at the forefront of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) exploration. While China has initiated trials for its digital yuan internally, the UAE has concentrated on infrastructure enhancement and domestic applications, also engaging in the mBridge initiative. These endeavors position these nations as pioneers in CBDC advancement. Nonetheless, the creation of a unified CBDC for all BRICS countries presents considerable challenges. An alternative approach could entail a basket of CBDCs pegged to major BRICS currencies. This currency basket could facilitate trade settlements within the bloc, reducing dependency on conventional financial channels and potentially laying the groundwork for a more interconnected BRICS financial ecosystem.

China – Arab States Collaboration: Embracing Blockchain for Cross-Border Transactions

The recent closure of the 10th Ministerial Conference of the China-Arab States Cooperation Forum (CASCF) heralds a potential surge in blockchain adoption for cross-border payments across the region. The Conference focused on leveraging local currencies and CBDCs to streamline financial transactions, aligning with BRICS' overarching strategy to fortify financial autonomy and lessen reliance on the US dollar. The cooperation between China and Arab states, with Russia's backing, highlights BRICS' emergence as a strategic avenue for diminishing reliance on US influence.

Rethinking Dollar Hegemony: A Drive for Change?

The utility of US sanctions as a political instrument has eroded the absolute dominance of the dollar. This trend, coupled with BRICS' exploration of CBDCs and a potential currency basket, indicates a strategic maneuver by these budding economies to decrease reliance on the US dollar in international commerce. Evident shifts are already observable in bilateral trade settlements between China and nations like Brazil, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE. These advancements raise a pivotal question: Might the weaponization of the dollar hasten the ascension of alternative trade settlement mechanisms, potentially spearheaded by the BRICS bloc?

BRICS and Beyond: Pioneering Global Financial Revolutions

The fate of BRICS rests on its capability to navigate internal economic divergences and craft a consolidated vision. Yet, the capacity of blockchain technology to empower the bloc and reshape the global financial landscape holds immense promise. BRICS, in tandem with other emerging economies, possesses the potential to harness blockchain technology for the creation of a more just, interconnected, and prosperous global financial framework.

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