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U.S. Stock Market Sets Records: New Cap-to-GDP Ratio

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

8 days ago


Recent data shows that the market capitalization ratio of the global stock market to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the U.S. has reached a record level. This raises concerns among analysts about a possible market correction.

What is the Buffett Indicator?

The Buffett Indicator, as it is often called, measures the total market value of U.S. stocks relative to GDP. In June 2025, this ratio reached 207.8%, setting a new all-time high. Warren Buffett has frequently emphasized the importance of this metric for gauging market value.

Current Market Situation

The current market cap-to-GDP ratio is significantly above historical levels. Analysts note that this figure resembles situations seen during the dot-com bubble, which may signal a future correction. Despite this new level, neither Warren Buffett nor U.S. regulators have made recent public statements on the matter.

Impact on Cryptocurrencies

While the Buffett Indicator's influence on cryptocurrency assets like BTC and ETH has yet to manifest, it could still affect overall market sentiment. So far, leading figures in the crypto industry remain silent and have not reported any immediate changes related to these readings.

The record-setting stock market cap-to-GDP ratio could trigger shifts in investor sentiment, which may affect market decisions in speculative sectors.

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