In recent years, Bitcoin has shown certain cycles of growth and consolidation. An analysis conducted by CryptoQuant analysts indicates the cryptocurrency's potential behavior in 2025.
Three-Year Cycle and Its Features
Since 2011, Bitcoin's annual growth chart has demonstrated a clear four-year rhythm: three years of price growth followed by one year of consolidation. This cycle coincides with Bitcoin's halving cycle, which impacts supply dynamics and investor behavior. 2025 is expected to be the third bullish year of the current cycle, potentially leading to a 120% rise in Bitcoin's price. With a starting price of $93,226, the year-end target could be around $205,097.
Support from Macro Indicators
Other macro indicators reinforce this theory. Realized Cap, which measures the total value of coins based on their last moved price, is reaching all-time highs in 2025, indicating persistent accumulation and conviction among long-term holders. The Yearly Percentage Trend provides a strategic compass, helping investors avoid short-term distractions and aligning their positions with Bitcoin's long-term cycle dynamics.
Strategic Implications for Investors
If the three-year cycle plays out once again, 2025 could mark the final leg of this bullish phase, making it a critical period for investor decision-making. Understanding this rhythm is key to staying grounded, even during the most volatile moments of the cycle.
The analysis suggests that Bitcoin's upcoming movement in 2025 will depend on historical cycles and current macro indicators, which investors should consider.
