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Updated UBS GBP/CHF Price Forecast: Key Reasons and Risks

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

4 hours ago


UBS, the leading financial institution, has updated its price forecast for the GBP/CHF currency pair, raising the target to 1.13, driven by several factors related to economic indicators and monetary policy.

Updated UBS Price Forecast for GBP/CHF

UBS analysts have raised their expectations for the GBP/CHF exchange rate to 1.13. This change suggests a potential appreciation of the British Pound relative to the Swiss Franc. The forecast is based on a comprehensive analysis of economic indicators and central bank policies.

Carry Trade Appeal for the Pound

The main driver cited by UBS for their optimistic forecast is the increasing attractiveness of the carry trade for the Pound. Investors can earn on the interest rate differential by borrowing a low-interest currency (Franc) and investing in a high-interest currency (Pound).

Holding British Pounds and selling Swiss Francs allows investors to potentially earn the interest rate differential.CITE_NA

Implications for Currency Traders and Market Dynamics

An increased forecast from UBS can significantly influence market sentiment and trading strategies. However, it is essential to remember that carry trades are subject to risks, especially during market stress, which can lead to unwinding higher-yielding currencies.

UBS's decision to raise its price target for GBP/CHF to 1.13 emphasizes the appeal of the carry trade but traders must consider all economic and political risks affecting the currency pair.

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