Analyst known as Papa has examined XRP's bull cycles and noted that each lasts about 274-275 days. If this trend continues, the current cycle could conclude by the end of August 2025.
Historical Bull Cycles: A Consistent Pattern?
Papa's work is based on two previous XRP cycles: 2017 and 2021. In the 2017 cycle, XRP started climbing in March, rising from less than $0.01 to an all-time high of $3.84 by January 4, 2018. This rally lasted approximately 275 days, confirming Papa's conclusions.
The 2021 cycle followed a similar pattern. After bottoming out in 2020, XRP began a fresh rally in July 2020, eventually peaking at $1.84 by mid-April 2021. Despite external challenges, including the SEC lawsuit, this cycle also lasted around 274 days, reinforcing the idea of a consistent XRP market rhythm.
The Current Cycle: 47 Days until Conclusion?
According to Papa, the current bull cycle began in late 2024, particularly after XRP's breakout in November 2024, which was confirmed by a surge past long-standing technical resistance levels. XRP reclaimed the $3 mark by early 2025, echoing the breakout patterns seen in 2017 and 2021.
If this cycle follows the same historical timeline of 274 days, it suggests that the end of this bullish phase could arrive by late August 2025, giving traders and investors roughly 47 days before a potential trend reversal, peak, or transition into consolidation.
Current Position of XRP
As of report time, XRP is trading at $2.90, just under the year’s high of $3.40 reached earlier in 2025. While the token has shown resilience and strong technical structure, it now sits in a critical window. Whether this is the final leg of the bull run or merely a pause before another surge remains to be seen. However, Papa's timing model adds a new layer of urgency.
Papa's analysis of XRP's 274-day bull cycles provides an intriguing perspective on current market conditions. With the 2024-2025 cycle nearing its historical duration, the next 47 days could be decisive. This may represent the final chapter in this cycle or the beginning of a new phase altogether.
