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XRP ETF Approval Odds Jump to 87%: What's Behind the Surge?

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

4 days ago


Interest is heating up in the crypto community regarding a possible XRP ETF approval. Odds have jumped to an astonishing 87% on Polymarket. Let's delve into what's driving this optimism and what it might lead to.

Why is Everyone Suddenly Talking About an XRP ETF Approval?

The prediction market platform Polymarket is showing an 87% probability for an XRP-based Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) approval. This record-high percentage signals a dramatic shift in market expectations. One key factor driving this confidence is Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse’s statement concerning the potential end of the SEC lawsuit against Ripple, which has been a major hurdle for the XRP market. Garlinghouse emphasizes that resolving the dispute could happen soon, boosting hopes for ETF approval.

Ripple vs. SEC: How Does the Lawsuit Update Fuel XRP ETF Optimism?

The longstanding legal battle between Ripple and the SEC has a significant impact on the XRP ETF approval prospects. If XRP is classified as a security, it will fundamentally alter its regulatory framework. A positive resolution or dismissal would clear up regulatory uncertainties and strengthen institutional confidence. Such an outcome could set a precedent for other crypto projects under regulatory scrutiny.

What’s the Timeline for a Decision on XRP ETF Applications?

Activity around XRP ETF applications is intensifying, with anticipation mounting for a mid-October 2024 decision from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on five applications. This process encompasses detailed legal and market analysis to ensure investor protection and market integrity.

The surge to an 87% possibility for XRP ETF approval instills a positive sentiment, especially amidst announcements about the potential resolution of the Ripple vs. SEC lawsuit. Should ETF approval occur, significant investment in XRP could ensue. However, it's crucial to remember that the crypto market is dynamic and subject to external influences.

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