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Bitcoin Declines Due to Fed Policy and Market Impact

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by A1

3 hours ago


Bitcoin faced a decline to $104,600 in the wake of recent Federal Reserve statements and inflation data meeting expectations.

Fed Announcements and Interest Rates

The December 2024 Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data indicated an increase compared to the previous month. This is a key inflation indicator for the Federal Reserve, showing deviation from the 2% target. The previous figure of 2.4% was already close to the Fed's goal set for the next two years. Historically, sharp declines have fueled crypto rallies, but the recent stabilization suggests a different market reaction this time.

Trump's Policy and Past Actions

Former President Donald Trump continues his efforts to reduce energy prices, which could help moderate PCE inflation, given that energy costs contribute significantly to the index. Additionally, the holiday season likely inflated December figures, making the latest data less alarming. Trump is closely monitoring these numbers and preparing policy adjustments, as he remains adamant about lowering interest rates.

Cautious Stance by Michelle Bowman

Fed member Michelle Bowman delivered a cautious outlook, causing BTC to slide further during her remarks:

Current policy allows the Fed to monitor incoming data and assess the economic effects of the Trump administration’s policies before making further rate adjustments. / While easy financial conditions and high asset prices may slow inflation progress, monetary policy does not appear to exert excessive pressure on the economy. The labor market is not particularly tight, yet wage growth remains inconsistent with the 2% inflation target. / I am closely watching long-term Treasury yields as a potential signal that markets anticipate tighter policies to curb inflation. The first-quarter data will be crucial in determining how quickly inflation improves moving forward. Geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, and post-election demand surges could further drive inflation. / Rate cuts are expected this year, but future moves should be cautious and gradual, allowing time to assess data.Michelle Bowman

Following the inflation data, short-term US interest rate futures declined, while investors anticipate the next Fed rate cut in June.

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