Bitcoin has increased by 11% this week, achieving its best result for 2025. The cryptocurrency reached $95,000, signaling strong market momentum.
Power-Law Model and Price Projections
Sina, co-founder of 21st Capital, pointed out Bitcoin’s return to the power-law price model, based on Metcalfe's Law, which states that Bitcoin’s value increases with the number of users. According to the Bitcoin Quantile Model, this reclamation signals that Bitcoin is on track to reach key price targets of $130,000 and $163,000 by the end of 2025, depending on its monthly performance. Bitcoin is currently in the 'Transition' phase, where accumulation occurs, and analysts expect it will soon enter the 'Acceleration' zone for rapid price increases.
A Bold $200,000 Prediction for Bitcoin
Anonymous Bitcoin analyst apsk32 predicts that Bitcoin could soar to $200,000 in 2025. This forecast is based on Bitcoin’s price movements over the past four-year cycles, anticipating significant gains in Q3 and Q4 of 2025. 'Looking at two-year segments centered today, I expect Bitcoin to exceed $200,000 in Q4. Gold suggests we could go significantly higher.'
Gold and Bitcoin: A Shifting Dynamic
Since the beginning of 2024, both Bitcoin and gold have reached new price highs, each asset outperforming the other during specific periods. From March to August 2024, both assets saw substantial growth; however, by Q3, gold led the rally. By Q4, Bitcoin regained momentum. Currently, Bitcoin is up 11% since its recent highs, while gold has fallen 6%. Historically, Bitcoin tends to follow gold’s price direction with a lag of 100-150 days, suggesting it may soon overtake gold once again.
Bitcoin continues to show positive momentum, attracting interest from analysts and investors. Predictions indicate the likelihood of sustained growth for both Bitcoin and the financial market.