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Crypto Market Cycle Analysis: Upward Trends and Money Supply

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

12 hours ago


The analysis of the cryptocurrency market indicates an early stage of a strong bullish cycle. Historical data suggests expansion after accumulation phases, with the total crypto market capitalization often showing repeating patterns of breakouts and rallies.

Historical Breakouts and Market Trends

The crypto market has followed a structured growth pattern through multiple cycles. From 2015 to 2017, the market consolidated within a symmetrical triangle before breaking out, leading to a parabolic run. Similarly, between 2020 and 2021, a consolidation phase preceded another surge. Between 2022 and 2024, another consolidation period emerged, forming a symmetrical triangle. The recent breakout above this pattern indicated bullish momentum. However, a brief retracement occurred, bringing prices back to a crucial support zone, aligning with the upper boundary of the previous triangle.

Structural Growth and Market Outlook

Long-term ascending trendlines indicate sustained market expansion. The crypto market has consistently formed higher lows across multiple cycles, confirming structural growth. Despite recent corrections, the broader bullish trend remains intact. Price action has stayed above key trendlines, reinforcing a strong technical foundation for future gains. Analysts predict continued capital inflows into the crypto market, possibly leading to another expansion similar to past breakouts.

Macroeconomic Liquidity and Crypto Market

Macroeconomic liquidity plays a pivotal role in shaping crypto movements. Changes in money supply have historically influenced market cycles. With increasing global liquidity, the crypto market may experience continued capital inflows. Phases of accumulation historically ended with powerful uptrends, and the current technical setup suggests a similar scenario.

The market cycle analysis suggests that cryptocurrency may be on the verge of a new growth phase. If past patterns hold, the market could soon resume its upward trajectory.

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