The latest minutes from the Federal Reserve's meeting revealed significant divisions among policymakers regarding future interest rate changes. Issues related to slowing economic growth and inflation risks have become points of contention.
Internal Disagreements Within the Federal Reserve
Minutes from June 17-18 indicate that policymakers are no longer unified. While all agree to keep rates at 4.25% to 4.5%, disagreements arise over whether aggressive cuts should be made to combat slowing growth or whether caution is warranted due to inflation risks from Trump's tariffs.
Officials' Opinions on Rate Changes
The majority of officials back at least one rate cut this year, viewing inflation from tariffs as temporary. However, a smaller group believes inflation is still too high to ease. Some Fed members are ready to cut rates as soon as this month, while others argue against any cuts in 2025.
Impact of Trump's Tariffs on the Economy
Trump's recent tariffs add further pressure to the economic situation. While inflation remains low, with the Consumer Price Index rising just 0.1% in May, analysts continue to monitor potential repercussions from the tariffs on the economy.
Thus, the significant divisions within the Federal Reserve highlight uncertainty in future economic policies. Discussions on interest rates and the influence of Trump's political decisions remain on the agenda.