The conflict between Israel and Iran has once again escalated global economic problems. The runaway oil prices and market fluctuations are leading to significant changes in the economic landscape.
Markets on Edge: Oil Shock and Stock Decline
Israeli strikes on Iran have caused a sharp rise in oil prices. For instance, Brent crude surged by over 7%, reaching $74.40 per barrel, while WTI increased by 7.72%, amounting to $73.29. These figures have led to unprecedented oscillations in the stock markets, with the FTSE 100 index in London opening down 0.6%. While Russian energy stocks benefit from the tensions, other markets face difficulties. Additionally, gold reached its highest price in two months, valued at $3,423.30 per ounce.
Chokepoint: The Strategic Importance of the Strait of Hormuz
The Strait of Hormuz is a crucial maritime corridor for the global economy, with nearly 20% of global oil supplies passing through it. Increased tensions in the area could paralyze the oil market. The global economy does not need further complications as it is still recovering from an inflationary shock. Analysts are already revising their forecasts considering the emerging situation.
Geopolitics and Economic Consequences
Amidst military actions, the great powers are adjusting their positions. Former President Donald Trump urged for negotiations with Iran, stating that "Iran must make a deal, before there is nothing left." However, Iran has retaliated by sending 100 drones toward Israel. While Russia condemns Israeli attacks and benefits from rising oil prices, most countries adopt a cautious stance. Europe remains divided on opinions, highlighting the complexity of the geopolitical situation.
The Israel-Iran conflict continues to threaten global economic stability, provoking sharp market fluctuations and reassessing expectations. Attention to critical regions like the Strait of Hormuz only emphasizes how quickly economic conditions can change in response to geopolitical events.