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XRP Price Analysis: Is a $21,000 Target Realistic?

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

7 hours ago


An analysis conducted by user Future XRP suggests that XRP could reach a price range of $3,000 to $21,000. This prediction is based not on speculation but on actual transaction data.

How XRP’s Transaction Speed Could Boost Its Value

The XRP Ledger is known as one of the fastest blockchain systems, capable of processing up to 1,500 transactions per second. Testing has shown speeds exceeding 3,400 TPS. Theoretically, it can scale up to 10,000 TPS, meaning higher transaction usage translates to increased token value.

Why Circulating Supply Could Trigger a Supply Shock

While 100 billion XRP were created, many tokens are locked in ETFs, institutional reserves, or long-term storage, limiting the amount available in the open market. A growing demand against a limited supply increases the value of tokens. Future XRP indicates that lower availability combined with higher usage leads to price increases.

The Formula Predicting XRP’s Future Price

Using the classic MV = PQ formula allows forecasting potential price levels. In this equation: M = XRP in circulation V = Frequency of use for each XRP annually (velocity) P = Price of XRP Q = Total value of transactions XRP settles annually. Hence, Price per XRP = Total Value Settled / (Circulating XRP * Velocity). Three key scenarios are detailed:

Scenario 1: High Speed, Low Supply TPS: 10,000 Circulating XRP: 20 billion Velocity: 15.8 Settlement Volume: $1 quadrillion annually Predicted Price: $3,164.56 per XRP.

Scenario 2: High Speed, High Supply TPS: 10,000 Circulating XRP: 60 billion Velocity: 5.26 Predicted Price: $3,168.09 per XRP.

Scenario 3: Low Speed, High Supply TPS: 1,500 Circulating XRP: 60 billion Velocity: 0.79 Predicted Price: $21,097.04 per XRP.

The bold prediction that XRP could reach $21,000 is based on calculations of transaction velocity and global payment volume. If XRP becomes a core mechanism for settling large amounts of value worldwide, a high price per token is not just possible—it might be necessary.

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