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What's behind today's XRP price decline
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What's behind today's XRP price decline

Oct 10, 2023

The price of XRP has fallen today as a result of a number of factors, including the worsening Israel-Palestine conflict and large whale movements in the cryptocurrency market. The price drop of XRP is a result of a general downward trend in the cryptocurrency market.

The price of XRP decreased by almost 1.5% on October 10 to reach $0.50, giving it a week-to-date return of -4.5%. This fall in the token's value is consistent with the pessimistic trends seen in the top-ranked cryptocurrencies, with declines in the value of Bitcoin and Ether of 1.8% and 3.5%, respectively. Let's examine the main causes of today's price decline for XRP.

What's behind today's XRP price decline - news

The current Israel-Palestine conflict has led cryptocurrency traders to steer clear of many of the main cryptocurrencies, including XRP, which has contributed to XRP's decline.

For instance, since the start of hostilities between Hamas and Israel over the weekend, the overall market valuation of the bitcoin market has dropped by more than $32 billion. On the other hand, demand for conventional safe-haven assets like gold and U.S. Treasuries has soared. Cryptocurrencies have historically reacted negatively to geopolitical tensions, with the market losing more than 11% of its value on February 24, 2022, when the Russia-Ukraine war broke out. These losses, nevertheless, were frequently transient.

What's behind today's XRP price decline - news

XRP's decrease this week also coincides with substantial token transfers that took place over the weekend and at the start of the week. According to information from Whale Alert, on October 9th, a Ripple-related address sent 60 million XRP, or almost $30 million, to an unidentified wallet. Over $15 million was transferred from another wallet to the Bitstamp cryptocurrency market.

Recent price movement for XRP appears to have created a Bump-and-Run Reversal (BARR) pattern from a technical perspective. This pattern often appears when quick speculation quickly raises the price of an asset, finally creating a "bull trap." The price must drop below its lead-in trendline to confirm the BARR pattern, which might cause a drop of up to 50%, as shown below. In this case, the price of XRP in the upcoming months would be expected to fall to about $0.25.

If XRP's price is able to retake the lead-in trendline and find support from its 50-3D (the red wave) and 200-3D (the blue wave) exponential moving averages (EMAs), this pessimistic prognosis could be refuted. In such a positive scenario, the price of XRP might aim for its 0.236 Fib line, which is close to $0.69 and would imply a gain of about 40% from current levels.

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