Arthur Hayes, the cofounder of BitMEX, has made a striking prediction about the future of Layer 1 blockchains, suggesting that only Ethereum and Solana will endure while the majority will ultimately fail. In a recent interview, he elaborated on the evolving landscape of blockchain technology and its implications for the financial sector, and the publication demonstrates positive momentum in the developments.
Hayes on Ethereum's Long-Term Significance
During his conversation with Altcoin Daily, Hayes highlighted the market's ongoing struggle to grasp Ethereum's long-term significance. He believes that as institutional adoption of blockchain technology accelerates, Ethereum will emerge as the foundational layer for Web3, particularly as traditional financial institutions recognize the limitations of private blockchains.
Transitioning to Web3
Hayes pointed out that banks are now gearing up to transition into Web3, with public blockchains like Ethereum being favored for their established security, scalability, and utility. He anticipates that as Ethereum gains traction within the financial industry, its price will soar, potentially igniting a significant rally in ETH.
Caution on Layer 1 Blockchains
However, Hayes issued a cautionary note regarding the fate of most Layer 1 blockchains, asserting that many new projects are failing to generate genuine user engagement and viable use cases. This lack of activity, he argues, will lead to their inevitable collapse. Ultimately, he predicts that the Layer 1 blockchain ecosystem will narrow down to a select few key players, predominantly:
- Ethereum
- Solana
He believes this consolidation will shape the future of the blockchain landscape.
Sei has emerged as a significant player in the blockchain space, focusing on enhancing decentralized trading performance. This contrasts with Arthur Hayes' predictions about the future of Layer 1 blockchains. For more details, see Sei's approach.







