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Analysis of AR Token Performance

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

a year ago


Analysis of AR Token Performance

The AR token has been struggling near its vital $20 support zone, indicating a period of underperformance in recent times. Despite repeated efforts since March to breach the $48-50 supply zone, sellers have proven resilient. Similarly, sellers have attempted to breach the $20 demand zone, leading to the token's consolidation within a confined range over recent months.

Presently, the token lingers below important moving averages with insufficient buying momentum to sustain above the 20-day EMA level. Amidst a bearish market sentiment, AR has exhibited lateral movement within a narrow range, signaling diminished investor interest. A breach of the $20-50 range in either direction could trigger a notable one-sided move.

Arweave (AR) Position amidst Market Dynamics

AR has frequently found support near the $20 mark, prompting pullbacks on each occasion. Investors had anticipated a similar scenario during the recent accumulation phase. However, the lack of clarity and subsequent buying on the charts have hindered a clear pullback signal, awaiting validation with a breakout above $24.

Currently, AR is priced at $21.90, registering a 9.36% intraday drop, reflecting a neutral stance on the charts. Trading volumes have spiked by over 135%, amounting to $172.36 million. The AR/BTC pair maintains a value of 0.0000383 BTC, coupled with a market cap of $1.44 billion. Analysts maintain a neutral stance, indicating a potential recovery for Arweave's valuation.

The RSI curve near 35, below the midpoint, signals convergence with the signal line. Despite this, market participants face ambiguity and reluctance, requiring heightened buyer activity to counter selling pressure. A breach above the 200-day EMA could initiate short-covering moves, propelling the token towards the $30 level.

@Decilizer highlighted a robust support zone at $17 for AR, consistently honored in the past and suggestive of an uptrend towards $43 amid anticipated market revitalization.

Weighted Sentiment Data Analysis

Recent data demonstrates a notable decline in weighted sentiment figures, descending to -0.936, portraying a bearish sentiment. Concurrently, price volatility metrics have decreased by over 12% during the intraday session, indicative of reduced trading activity.

Overview of Total Liquidations

Long liquidations surpass short positions, indicating a prevalent bearish sentiment and potential further declines for the token. Immediate support levels for AR are identified at $1.80 and $1.30, with key upside resistances at $2.40 and $3. Despite facing resistance at the 20-day EMA, AR remains situated near the demand zone, with buyers eyeing a breakthrough past the $24 threshold for a substantial rebound.

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