Experts increasingly discuss potential changes in cryptocurrency cycles that may impact the market in the coming years.
New Approach to Cycles
Crypto trader Koroush 'AK' noted that the traditional capital rotation cycle is breaking down. He stated, 'Now we have to navigate isolated mini-cycles where only some sectors pump while others get left behind.' This observation highlights that only certain cryptocurrencies, like Chainlink (LINK), are rising in value, while others, such as Uniswap (UNI), remain overlooked.
Impact of the Four-Year Cycle
Analyst James Check proposed an interesting theory that Bitcoin has experienced three cycles that are not anchored around halving events. He believes that these cycles are based on trends in adoption and market structure. He identified three periods: the 'adoption cycle' from 2011 to 2018, the 'adolescence cycle' from 2018 to 2022, and the current 'maturity cycle' driven by institutional stability. PlanC also mentioned a high likelihood of the current cycle breaking.
What to Expect in September?
Analysts from Glassnode noted that Bitcoin is still tracking its traditional patterns, but recent selling pressure indicates the market may have entered a late phase of the cycle. If historical trends hold, we might see a significant price pullback in September followed by recovery at the year's end. Opinions among experts suggest predictions are leaning towards continued growth into 2026 due to increased institutional participation.
Old models in the cryptocurrency space are undergoing reevaluation, and expert opinions vary. Understanding new trends and cycles will help market participants adapt to changes and make informed decisions.
