The situation in the cryptocurrency market remains challenging, with analysts debating the potential peak of Bitcoin in the fourth quarter of 2025. Some explore historical cycles, while others consider new factors.
Critique of Bitcoin Peak Assumptions
Analyst PlanC, active on platform X, expressed doubts about traders’ overly optimistic expectations for Bitcoin’s peak in Q4 2025. He likened this mindset to a gambler expecting the outcome of a coin toss to remain the same after multiple flips. According to him, with only three previous halving cycles to study, there is not enough data to justify certainty about when the market will peak.
Other Expert Opinions
The analyst community is far from unanimous. Some forecasters, like Steven McClurg of Canary Capital, argue that Bitcoin could rise to the $140,000-$150,000 range before the end of 2025. Others, like Matt Hougan of Bitwise, believe that 2026 will be another bullish year, while high-profile figures such as Arthur Hayes and Joe Burnett suggest end-of-year targets as high as $250,000.
Overall Picture and Conclusions
Bitcoin has more than doubled, gaining over 96% in the past 12 months, currently trading around $111,000. Traders are left with the question of whether the next decisive move will occur in October, late 2025, or stretch into 2026. Ultimately, historical factors do not guarantee future results.
Thus, the doubts raised by analysts point to the need for a cautious approach to Bitcoin forecasts in a changing market landscape.
