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Analyzing Bitcoin Seasonality for 2025: September and October Trends

Analyzing Bitcoin Seasonality for 2025: September and October Trends

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

3 hours ago


In 2025, the cryptocurrency community analyzes Bitcoin's seasonality. Data shows that September is traditionally a weak month for this asset, while subsequent months may yield higher returns.

September: Negative Returns

September 2025 is expected to be one of the most challenging for Bitcoin, with a historical average return of -1.83% in post-halving years. This sentiment carries the risk of market corrections.

Halving Cycles and Market Patterns

Data confirms that September often proves a tough month following halving events. However, October is anticipated to bring strong gains, with an expected average return of 19.46%, indicating the potential for a new upward trend.

September is almost always red in post-halving years. Q4 is usually where the cycle finishes.CITE_W_A

Balancing Data with Market Realities

The Bitcoin Magazine Pro platform provides tools for tracking market cycles and analytics. Nevertheless, it is important to remember market dynamics and external factors that may influence outcomes.

With Bitcoin's seasonal patterns in 2025, investors are keen to see if the traditional strong performance will hold true in the fourth quarter.

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