Recent actions by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) have caused significant fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market. This article examines the potential price implications for Bitcoin.
Bitcoin and SEC's History
Bitcoin has always been affected by the SEC. The Commission's statements and lawsuits regarding crypto projects have led to fluctuations in Bitcoin's price, creating an atmosphere of panic and optimism in the market. In July 2025, the SEC announced 'Crypto', which they described as a Commission-wide initiative aimed at modernizing rules and regulations to enable a transition to on-chain financial markets. This announcement caused Bitcoin's price to soar past the $4.5 billion mark, indicating its better performance in a regulated environment. The SEC has since shifted from aggressive enforcement to a more open policy, potentially increasing investor confidence and reducing perceived risks regarding Bitcoin investments.
Short-Term Bitcoin Price Prediction
In August, Bitcoin showed consolidation, trading in a range of $116,000 to $120,000. Some platforms predicted a bullish run, with CoinCodex forecasting a 7.64% increase. Wallet Investor also predicted that BTC could exceed $120,000 by the end of August. Probability data from Polymarket indicated a 60% chance of the price remaining above $115,000. Bitcoin's volatility dropped to 28.53%, the lowest since 2023, showing increased market confidence.
Long-Term Outlook for Bitcoin
Several economic and structural factors may shape Bitcoin's value in the coming years. First, the upcoming halving cycle scheduled for 2028 is known to usually precede significant price rallies. Second, institutional interest is rising, with Bitcoin ETF inflows surpassing $50 billion in 2025. Third, 90% of Bitcoin's total supply is already mined and circulating, reinforcing its scarcity. Traders are watching key levels, such as the psychological threshold of $71,000, which needs to be maintained for further growth.
With the recent developments involving the SEC, Bitcoin has gained renewed attention. Investors should rely on analysis, credible data, and risk management to minimize losses even amid high volatility.
