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Bitcoin Analysis: Prospective Scenarios After Price Decline

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

3 months ago


The cryptocurrency analytics firm Alphractal has released a detailed report on the state of the Bitcoin market following the recent drop in its price. The report explores potential scenarios for the cryptocurrency as it responds to shifting capital flows.

Bull Scenarios

In its report, Alphractal identifies several key target levels. The first is the Short-Term Holder (STH) Realized Price at $86,200. This metric has historically served as a support during bull markets, and its recovery may indicate continued positive momentum. Another critical level is the Hope/Denial Band at $80,700, based on both the Short and Long Term Conservative Sentiment metrics.

Bear Scenario

In a negative scenario, Alphractal warns of a potential drop to $60,000-$66,000, echoing events similar to May 2021. These zones are supported by metrics such as the Active Realized Price and Real Market Average Price.

The Alphractal analysis provides various scenarios for Bitcoin in light of changing capital flows, offering tools for anticipating future market trends.

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