An analysis of Bitcoin's current market position and potential scenarios for its future movement.
Approaching the Bull Cycle’s End?
Analyst TradingShot predicts Bitcoin may reach a market peak by the end of 2025, followed by a significant market correction into 2026. He highlights historical data revealing recurring market rhythms characterized by peaks, bear market phases, and cycle troughs. The next significant peak is expected to occur in the week of October 13, 2025.
Critical Price Levels for Bitcoin
On-chain data shared by Ali Martinez underscores key metrics to assess the health of Bitcoin’s current bull market. Historically, downtrends begin when prices fall below the 'Realized Price of Short-Term Holders,' while deeper retracements occur when prices descend below the 'Realized Price of Long-Term Holders.' According to Glassnode data from September 6, 2025, the 'Realized Price of Short-Term Holders' is $109,400, while the 'Realized Price of Long-Term Holders' stands at $36,700.
Bitcoin Price Analysis
At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $110,774, experiencing a 1.7% drop over the past 24 hours, yet maintaining a 1.5% weekly increase. To gain confidence in the sustainability of the rally, Bitcoin must hold the critical support level of $110,000.
The current situation in the Bitcoin market highlights possible scenarios for both growth and decline, depending on the retention of key price levels and historical patterns.
