Bitcoin's recent price surge has sparked discussions among analysts and market enthusiasts. With prices holding steady around the $110,000 mark, technical signals might indicate a potential conclusion to the current bull cycle.
Proximity to the End of the Bull Cycle
TradingShot analyst predicts that Bitcoin may peak by late 2025, followed by a significant market cooldown into 2026. In a September 5 post on TradingView, it is observed that historical trends show a recurring rhythm of market peaks followed by bear phases and cycle lows. Each supercycle tends to culminate around the 0.786 Fibonacci time extension, after which an extended downturn generally follows.
Critical Price Points for Bitcoin
Insights from analyst Ali Martinez highlight key metrics necessary for understanding the current state of Bitcoin’s bull market. As of September 6, 2025, data indicated the 'Realized Price of Short-Term Holders' at $109,400, while the 'Realized Price of Long-Term Holders' stood at $36,700. With Bitcoin trading near record highs, the $109,400 level is identified as significant, with $36,700 acting as a foundational support often associated with cycle lows.
Current Trends and Bitcoin Prices
Currently, Bitcoin is trading at $110,774, reflecting a 1.7% decline over the last day but retaining a 1.5% increase for the week. It is crucial for Bitcoin to maintain the $110,000 threshold to sustain confidence in its rally.
Market observers closely monitor the convergence of historical trends and on-chain insights, influencing decisions for those considering Bitcoin's potential trajectory. Understanding these dynamics remains essential for making informed investment choices.
