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Bitcoin Bull Run Assessment by Peter Brandt

Apr 28, 2024

In an analysis by Peter Brandt, doubts are raised regarding the continuation of Bitcoin's current bull run. Brandt suggests that Bitcoin may have already peaked, with significant retracements in the near future. Historical data analysis reveals diminishing momentum across Bitcoin's past bull cycles.

Brandt's examination shows a pattern of exponential decay between each cycle, where the peak of the current cycle could be around $72,723. This cycle follows four major bull cycles from the past and indicates a potential reduction in growth momentum.

The analysis emphasizes the concept of "exponential decay" in the growth rates of Bitcoin's cycles, with each new cycle being approximately 20% of its predecessor. This implies an 80% reduction in momentum from one cycle to the next.

Data from Brandt's analysis suggests that Bitcoin may have already hit its peak for this cycle and could experience a significant downturn, possibly revisiting previous low ranges. Brandt, despite his investment in Bitcoin, recognizes the importance of data-driven decision-making for investors.

While there is a 25% likelihood that Bitcoin has peaked for this cycle, adjustments to investment strategies may be necessary. Insights like Brandt's highlight the importance of informed decision-making in navigating the volatile cryptocurrency market.

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