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Bitcoin: Chance of Falling Below $90,000

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

3 months ago


Bitcoin's price failed to maintain its upward trend after dropping below the $100K resistance level. This article provides technical and sentiment analysis for predicting future price movements.

Technical Analysis on the Daily Chart

On the daily chart, the price is consolidating below the $100K level after temporarily exceeding it and reaching a new all-time high. A few days ago, the market was rejected after failing to break through $100K. The $90K support level is likely a target in the short term. The reaction to this area will determine BTC's short-term price action.

Technical Analysis on the 4-Hour Chart

The 4-hour chart illustrates a clearer picture of the sideways price action. Initially, the market was creating higher highs and lows within an ascending channel but has since broken this pattern to the downside and retested it twice. The RSI shows values below 50%, indicating bearish momentum. The market is likely to drop towards the $90K level before a potential bullish continuation.

Sentiment Analysis in Bitcoin Futures

Sentiment in the Bitcoin futures market has provided valuable insights over recent years, aiding analysts in predicting potential short-term volatility. This chart presents the open interest metric, measuring the total number of open perpetual futures contracts on derivatives exchanges. As the chart shows, open interest is at all-time highs, despite the market falling below the $100K mark and stopping its trend. This could signal short-term volatility due to liquidation cascades, cautioning investors.

Given current uncertainties, investors should act with caution, considering the potential risks and opportunities in Bitcoin's price dynamics. Both technical and sentiment analyses suggest possible further price declines, but short-term volatility could greatly impact the market.

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