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Bitcoin Market: From Neutral to Fear Due to Federal Reserve Decisions

Sep 16, 2024
  1. Bitcoin Price Fluctuations
  2. Lower Bitcoin Activity

Bitcoin experienced a positive surge last week, significantly uplifting investor sentiment. However, the start of this week has seen a downturn as the market heads into a crucial period.

Bitcoin Price Fluctuations

The changes in Bitcoin’s fear and greed sentiment corresponded with notable price action observations. Last week’s rally briefly pushed Bitcoin above $60,000. However, this achievement was fleeting, leading to more lower highs—a pattern typical of Bitcoin’s price action in recent months. Despite these fluctuations, Bitcoin maintained a stable price level at $58,875. However, the weekend’s pullback highlighted a critical aspect of the cryptocurrency: it is now at a point where lower highs indicate a weakening bullish stance. If this negative sentiment continues, Bitcoin’s price may drop below $50,000. Conversely, the Federal Reserve’s impending rate decision could be bullish. Aggressive rate cuts and a positive market reaction could trigger substantial demand, potentially pushing Bitcoin back to $70,000 or higher.

Lower Bitcoin Activity

Recent Bitcoin metrics show increasing caution among investors. This is reflected in the significant decrease in the number of large transactions over the past three days. On September 13, approximately 17,580 large addresses were recorded, but by September 15, this number had dropped to 12,520. This trend mirrors the decrease in exchange activity during the same period. Since September 13, exchange flows have dropped considerably. As of September 16, inflows remained slightly higher at 5,577 BTC, with outflows at 3,544 BTC. These Bitcoin exchange flows highlight the anticipation surrounding the Federal Reserve’s announcement. Additionally, political influences have been significant factors in Bitcoin’s price volatility. For example, recent reports suggest another attempt on Donald Trump’s life, though he emerged unharmed. These political influences could significantly impact Bitcoin over the next two months, suggesting that Bitcoin is entering a critical phase where it is likely to break out of its current narrow range.

The Bitcoin market faces volatility and uncertainty due to several factors, including the upcoming Federal Reserve decision and political influences. How these factors will affect Bitcoin's future movement remains to be seen.

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