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Bitcoin on the verge of significant price change

Sep 11, 2024
  1. What is a death cross and how does it affect Bitcoin
  2. Current situation in the Bitcoin market
  3. Analysis based on blockchain and exchange data

The potential formation of a 'death cross,' which suggests a possible bearish change when a short-term moving average crosses a long-term one, places Bitcoin at a critical level.

What is a death cross and how does it affect Bitcoin

A death cross is an indicator that typically signals impending downward pressure when the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average. This pattern indicates that Bitcoin may be entering a prolonged bear market.

Current situation in the Bitcoin market

The current price of Bitcoin is hovering around $56,000. To prevent further losses, the asset needs to maintain the support level at $58,000. Should Bitcoin break below this level, it will find stability at $54,000. For a more bullish trajectory to continue, Bitcoin must rise above the resistance at $60,000.

Analysis based on blockchain and exchange data

Blockchain data metrics are showing mixed signals. Metrics like net network growth and large transactions remain neutral, indicating no clear trend. Meanwhile, exchange signals range from neutral to bullish. Negative netflows from exchanges could indicate that the market is cautious, as investors are not actively investing in the asset.

With neutral on-chain data and the potential for a death cross, Bitcoin's short-term price outlook is unpredictable. Although a death cross may present a short-term downside risk, Bitcoin has historically shown resilience and has recovered from similar patterns before.

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