The analysis of the crypto market indicates that Bitcoin continues to move in cycles, raising interest in its future price forecasts. In light of recent declines, researchers are trying to assess the minimum and maximum price limits for Bitcoin by 2026.
Bitcoin Cycles and Their Impact
Historically, Bitcoin has demonstrated cycles related to its price with durations of about four years. The last significant drop in 2022, triggered by the FTX crisis, brought the price down to $15,000, after which a new wave of discussions emerged about potential stabilization or further declines. However, some experts believe that the market is entering a new growth phase.
Price Forecasting Models
Research from Diaman Partners focused on assessing potential minimum Bitcoin prices in the event of increased corrections. Using models like the 200-week moving average, researchers seek to understand where price support for Bitcoin might lie by the end of the cycle in 2026. Charts indicate that, apart from 2022, the 200-week average served as a reliable support for market fluctuations.
Future Price Movement Scenarios
According to Monte Carlo simulations, Bitcoin has a 5% chance of dropping below $41,000 by December 2026, considering the old cyclicality. At the same time, if growth is projected, the minimum price by the end of 2026 could exceed $80,000. Data shows that based on past cycles, the estimated maximum price by 2025 could reach $260,000, factoring in potential drawdowns.
Price research on Bitcoin offers various scenarios for its movement based on past cycles. It is important to note that predictions are not investment advice and represent analysis of potential scenarios that may not materialize.
