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Bitcoin Status: Trends and Outlook for September 2023

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

3 days ago


Recent days have seen concern in the Bitcoin market due to declining prices typical for September. However, several indicators suggest that underlying market strength is intact.

Key Market Indicators for Bitcoin

One key indicator is Delta Cap, which currently stands at $739.4 billion, with Bitcoin priced at $108.9K. Delta Cap, derived from the difference between Realized Cap and Average Cap, has historically served as a valuation floor during major market cycles.

Analysts at CryptoQuant indicate signs of strong capital inflows and renewed conviction among long-term investors. Additionally, institutional demand for Bitcoin has also noticeably increased.

Why Current Corrections May Be Positive

The Coinbase Premium Gap, which reflects the price difference between the U.S. exchange Coinbase and global Binance, currently shows a positive spread of +11.6. This premium indicates that U.S. institutions are willing to pay more for Bitcoin exposure, which in past cycles has led to extended bullish movements in the market.

Current corrections may also be seen as opportunities for accumulation within a strong structural uptrend.

Future Prospects

Analysts predict that the current slowdown may set the stage for a larger rally in fall 2025. Accumulation patterns suggest that the Bitcoin market is in Phase 3 of its cycle, which typically features lengthening uptrends.

Macro factors, such as a potential rate cut in September and possible approval of altcoin ETFs in October, could provide additional fuel for growth.

Despite a disappointing August, market indicators and institutional support suggest that Bitcoin maintains its strength. Current corrections could turn out to be opportunities for investors ahead of a potential rally.

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