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BTC Signals Cooling: MVRV at 39%

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

an hour ago


Bitcoin (BTC) is showing signs of stabilization after reaching new all-time highs two weeks ago. The volatility-adjusted MVRV ratio currently sits at 39%, placing the market in a neutral zone.

MVRV Metric Points to Market Balance

This indicates neither an overheated market ripe for profit-taking nor a capitulation zone signaling undervaluation. Analyst Axel Adler’s insights, shared via CryptoQuant, highlight that this consolidation phase follows a significant rally, allowing the market to absorb recent gains.

Price Action: Resistance and Support Levels to Watch

The chart, spanning 2016 to 2025, reveals Bitcoin’s price trajectory alongside the MVRV percentile. Historically, periods where the MVRV hovers around 30-70% have preceded balanced risk-reward scenarios, often leading to accumulation or sustained growth. With BTC trading near $108,500, the current 39% MVRV suggests a healthy pause, potentially setting the stage for the next move. This cooling-off aligns with market sentiment, as institutional buying and ETF inflows are anticipated to drive a potential surge to $125,000 in September.

Institutional Buying and ETF Inflows Fuel Optimism

The market remains in a wait-and-see mode, with social media buzz reflecting a mix of optimism and strategic patience. For investors, this phase offers a window to accumulate positions, but vigilance is key as macroeconomic shifts and whale activity could sway the trend. Bitcoin’s resilience continues to shine, with its current stance hinting at a bullish undercurrent beneath the surface calm.

Overall, Bitcoin exhibits a balance between consolidation and growth, and investors should pay close attention to current support and resistance levels when making informed decisions.

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