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Cardano: Analyzing the 27% Weekly Surge and Its Consequences

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

4 months ago


Cardano (ADA) has experienced a remarkable 27% surge over the past week, creating opportunities and risks for investors. This surge has shifted the profitability landscape for ADA holders, raising questions about the sustainability of price momentum.

Majority of Cardano Holders in Profit

The shift in profitability is evident with Cardano's price increase. Currently, 32 billion ADA, valued at approximately $31 billion, are in profit. This accounts for 88.40% of the entire circulating supply, a substantial increase from early November when only 40% of tokens were profitable. While this surge demonstrates market confidence, it also creates complex dynamics that warrant careful consideration.

MVRV Ratio Raises Concerns

The Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio currently stands at 76.20%. This elevated reading may indicate overvaluation of ADA. In practical terms, this suggests that the average holder could realize a 76.20% profit if they chose to sell their holdings at the current price, a proposition that might trigger widespread profit-taking.

Technical Analysis and Key Levels

From a technical standpoint, ADA is trading at $0.98, maintaining a position above crucial support at $0.93. This level could be crucial in determining the asset's next major move. Should profit-taking pressures intensify, a breach of this support might lead to a decline toward $0.79. Conversely, if holders retain their positions, ADA could push beyond the psychologically significant $1 mark towards $1.15, a price not seen since April 2022. The coming days will likely be pivotal in determining if ADA's impressive rally can withstand growing profit-taking pressures.

In the upcoming days, ADA's support level at $0.93 will serve as a key indicator of market direction amidst profit-taking pressures. Further developments in the price will depend on the balance between holding tokens and the desire to lock in profits.

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