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CBO Forecast: U.S. Deficit to Decrease by $4 Trillion from Trump's Tariff Strategy

CBO Forecast: U.S. Deficit to Decrease by $4 Trillion from Trump's Tariff Strategy

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

3 hours ago


According to the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), the U.S. budget deficit is projected to decrease by $4 trillion over the next decade due to tariffs implemented by the Trump administration.

Deficit Reduction Projections

CBO released projections indicating that the primary deficit will drop by $3.3 trillion by 2035, attributed to imposed duties. An additional $700 billion is expected to be saved on interest payments as a result of a smaller national debt. These estimates suggest that the impact of tariffs is about one-third larger than earlier estimates.

New Tariff Measures and Their Implications

Trump’s tariff policy raises concerns regarding related spending. The new spending package, known as the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, is expected to add $4.1 trillion to U.S. debt by 2035; however, updated tariff estimates nearly offset this increase. Economic experts suggest that the tariffs could slow growth, adding an element of uncertainty.

Overview of New Furniture Tariff Investigation

Recently, Trump announced the initiation of a new investigation concerning furniture imports, stating that they would be subject to a 'rate yet to be determined.' This investigation will be conducted under Section 232, which allows tariffs to be applied for national security reasons, serving as a legal backup for previously imposed tariffs.

The latest projections indicate that tariff implementations may significantly reduce the U.S. deficit; however, uncertainties remain regarding their overall impact on economic growth and the country's debt obligations. The recent investigation into furniture tariffs also highlights the ongoing trade policy of the Trump administration.

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