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Cryptocurrency Market: Uncertainties and Forecasts for 2025

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

a month ago


The first quarter concluded with challenges for cryptocurrency investors. As tariff discussions intensify, Bitcoin’s price fell below $86,000.

Tariff Expectations

Experts describe the uncertainty stemming from U.S. trade policy as an unpredictable period. The 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imposed by the U.S. are expected to remain indefinitely. Mutual tariffs are anticipated to be announced across all countries linked to the U.S., regardless of trade balances. Sector-specific tariffs of 10% on automobiles, pharmaceuticals, and semiconductors are also projected.

We calculated tariff differentials between developing markets and the U.S. based on harmonized system codes for trade classification. According to our forecasts, India has the widest tariff gap with the U.S. at 7.3 percentage points.

Economic Predictions for 2025

Predictions for a recession in the U.S. have increased to 25%. However, the latest report forecasts a significant slowdown in growth rather than an economic downturn. Experts expect GDP growth to decline from 2.7% in 2024 to 1.9% this year, reflecting Fed forecasts.

Impact on Crypto Investors

As global market conditions become more uncertain, cryptocurrency investors face new challenges. Rising inflation predictions and changes in interest rates may significantly impact the crypto market, as investors will look to adapt their strategies.

The period of uncertainty in global trade relations and the economic situation has a significant impact on the crypto industry. Keeping track of developments and considering them in investment strategies is crucial.

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