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Ethereum Price Drop: Causes and Forecasts

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

a year ago


  1. Increased Fear of Choppy Prices
  2. Whales Capitulation
  3. Low Demand from Spot Ether ETFs

  4. Ethereum (ETH) saw significant losses in the past 24 hours, dropping nearly 8 percent to around $2,474. This decline led to forced liquidation of positions totaling more than $102 million, mostly from long traders.

    Increased Fear of Choppy Prices

    Ethereum's fear and greed index dropped from around 53 percent (neutral) to 32 percent (fear) in the past 24 hours, indicating growing fear of further Ethereum price capitulation, evident in the daily and weekly charts. Popular analyst Peter Brandt suggests that Ethereum's price will likely continue in bearish sentiments in the near term if it remains below $2,814.

    One of the important things I look for in a trade is if it has a well-defined risk point where I can say 'I am wrong' and cut my losses. ETH is a well-defined short-side trade. Above $2830 or so the trade is wrong.Peter Brandt

    Whales Capitulation

    According to on-chain analysis, Ethereum whales have accelerated profit-taking in the last few days. The fear of further crypto capitulation in September has seen more whale investors exit the market. For instance, Wintermute deposited over 17.5k Ether ($43 million worth) to the Binance exchange in the past 24 hours. Another whale investor was spotted selling over 5k Ether via Binance earlier today.

    Many whales are dumping ETH! This whale exchanged 4,591.8 stETH directly for 4,589.5 ETH at a loss of 2.3 ETH ($6K) to avoid the long withdrawal process. He then deposited all 5,145 ETH ($13.3M) into Binance for sale.

    Low Demand from Spot Ether ETFs

    Since the historic approval and launch of spot Ether ETFs in the United States, the demand has remained relatively low. Led by Grayscale’s ETHE, US spot Ether ETFs registered a net cash outflow of about $3.45 million on Tuesday, bringing the total net outflow to $481 million to date.

    Ethereum's price decline is driven by a combination of factors including increased fear of choppy prices, whales' capitulation, and low demand for spot Ether ETFs. Only time will tell what lies ahead for ETH's price.

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