The likelihood of ETF approval for XRP is becoming an increasingly discussed topic in the market. Participants are considering potential price changes for the token in the event of a positive decision.
Possibility of ETF Approval
Nate Geraci, president of NovaDius Wealth Management, argues that ETF approval is not just likely but almost guaranteed. His confidence surpasses even the forecasts on prediction markets, where Polymarket users currently give XRP an 87% chance of receiving approval this year.
Institutional Interest and XRP Price Predictions
Geraci also notes that many are still underestimating demand for the token. He points to the Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, which attracted billions of dollars in inflows shortly after launch. If XRP follows a similar path, the token's price could rise significantly. Traders are already speculating that approval could push XRP above the $3 mark in the short term, with more aggressive forecasts calling for $5–$7 if institutional inflows mirror those observed with Bitcoin.
Companies Preparing for Market Changes
Major players are already positioning for this shift. Bitwise, Grayscale, and Franklin have all updated their filings to meet SEC requirements for creation and redemption processes, addressing concerns that previously stalled applications. Analysts believe these revisions clear the path for final decisions expected by October 2025.
The probability of ETF approval for XRP could potentially lead to significant market changes, including price increases and institutional investments. This creates new opportunities for Ripple and its ecosystem.