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Lightning Network Capacity Decline in 2025: Structural Optimization and Its Significance

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

3 days ago


The 20% decrease in Lightning Network capacity to 4,200 BTC in 2025 can be interpreted as structural optimization rather than a reduction in utility. This indicates enhanced efficiency and increased utilization of private channels.

Overview of Lightning Network Changes

The Lightning Network's capacity has decreased by approximately 20% in 2025, falling from 5,400 BTC to about 4,200 BTC since late 2023. This change reflects restructuring rather than a decline in technology adoption. Key figures involved include prominent node operators and Coinbase, which integrated Lightning in 2024.

Efficiency and Privacy of Transactions

Data indicates it is driving an increase in private channel transactions. There has been a 1,200% increase in routed payments since 2021. Liquidity has predominantly shifted from public visibility to private channels, enhancing transaction privacy and efficiency.

Strategic Optimization and Expert Opinions

Experts suggest that the observed rise in activity despite decreasing visible capacity reflects technological and strategic optimization. Historical data suggests that similar transitions previously did not affect payment volume. As noted by David Marcus, CEO of Lightspark, 'The visible public capacity is a lagging and incomplete indicator. Activity keeps rising as wallet providers and exchanges scale private channels and leverage splicing to optimize liquidity.'

The decrease in Lightning Network capacity illustrates not a deterioration but rather structural changes and optimization, potentially signaling further growth in the crypto economy.

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