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Polymarket Sees Spike in Activity Amid Speculations on Trudeau's Future

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

3 months ago


Cryptocurrency betting platform Polymarket has experienced a surge in user activity as they place bets on Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's political future.

Bets on Polymarket

Users of the Polymarket platform are actively betting on the resignation of Justin Trudeau, with an 80% probability assigned to his resignation by January 6. Trudeau is expected to announce his resignation as Liberal Party leader at a press conference on that date.

Freeland's Resignation and Canadian Politics

The political situation in Canada remains tense following Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland's resignation in December 2024. Freeland cited policy disagreements with Trudeau over potential tariffs threatened by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, amplifying calls for Trudeau to step down amid rising political uncertainty.

Polymarket's Legal Issues in Taiwan

In Taiwan, the Polymarket platform has already faced legal challenges. Prosecutors charged a man named Chen for using the platform to bet on the outcome of the country's presidential election, which he admitted to, agreeing to deferred prosecution for one year and a fine of 30,000 yuan.

Polymarket is experiencing a period of high user activity as individuals bet on Justin Trudeau's political future amid ongoing uncertainties in Canada and legal challenges abroad.

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