On the Kalshi prediction market, users express confidence that Google's Gemini model will become the leading AI text model by the end of 2025. This confidence reflects shifts in user preferences and the dynamics of competition.
Users' Predictions on Kalshi
According to Kalshi, 57% of users bet on Google Gemini's victory, significantly up from 48.1% before. Meanwhile, bets on OpenAI's ChatGPT have dropped to 20%, and xAI's Grok model has lower odds at 15%.
Competition Among AI Models
The artificial intelligence market is becoming increasingly competitive, with each player vying for leadership. Recently, Google announced updates for Gemini, including new modes and improved reasoning models. OpenAI, on the other hand, faced criticism after the rollout of ChatGPT-5.
Challenges and Barriers in AI Development
The fierce competition in the AI market may face limitations due to antitrust actions. G7 countries hinted at possible moves to protect competition in the AI field, while both Google and Meta are encountering antitrust lawsuits.
Currently, Google Gemini leads according to users' predictions, but the competitive landscape in artificial intelligence remains intense, making the future of this sector highly anticipated.
