September has historically posed challenges for investors with losses in both traditional financial markets and the cryptocurrency space. Many experts believe that 2025 may also bring negative outcomes.
The September Effect on Markets
The so-called "September Effect" has persisted for nearly a century. On Wall Street, the S&P 500 index typically shows declines in September. A similar trend is observed in the cryptocurrency sector, where, according to Coinglass data, Bitcoin has averaged a 3.7% loss in September, including eight significant pullbacks since 2013.
Geopolitics and Economic Instability in 2025
This year, September arrives with heightened tensions: inflation in the U.S. remains stubborn at 3.1%, and investors are watching the Federal Reserve's September 18 meeting for potential rate cuts. Additionally, ongoing wars and new trade disputes create market uncertainties. Daniel Keller, CEO of InFlux Technologies, warns that this setup could create a "perfect storm" for Bitcoin.
Analysts' Predictions and Opinions
However, not all analysts believe a sell-off is inevitable. Ben Kurland, CEO of DYOR, emphasizes that increasing liquidity and institutional presence are changing the landscape. "The market is now more resilient than in the past, and market structure matters more than seasonality," he noted.
This September, Bitcoin will once again be at the center of attention in global financial markets. Investors are advised to closely monitor fear and greed indices to better gauge market sentiment.
