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Spot Ethereum ETF Expected Launch Date

Jun 15, 2024

Overview

The highly anticipated launch of Spot Ethereum Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) has attracted considerable attention following the approval of all eight ETFs by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas has indicated that the trading for these financial products is likely to start on July 2nd.

SEC Approval Process Insights

Eric Balchunas has shed light on the recent SEC developments, suggesting a potential approval for ETF trading. The SEC's issuance of light comments on S-1 filings to ETF issuers, with a one-week response time, signifies a high probability of the ETFs being declared effective soon.

Institutional Approval Status

While the SEC has approved 19b-4 forms for eight Ethereum ETF issuers, such as BlackRock, Fidelity, and VanEck, the final go-ahead lies pending with the approval of the S-1 forms. SEC Chair Gary Gensler's comments hint at the possibility of approving S1 forms for Ethereum ETFs during the summer, reflecting positivity towards crypto investment products.

Institutional Interest and Price Predictions

Asset manager VanEck projects a bullish outlook for Ethereum, setting a price target of $22,000 by 2030. This optimism stems from the projected $66 billion in free cash flows by Ethereum in the next decade. The launch of spot Ethereum ETFs is anticipated to attract substantial institutional investments, with projected inflows ranging from $15 to $45 billion in the first year.

Price Speculations and Market Response

The approval of spot Ethereum ETFs is expected to trigger a significant price rally for Ethereum, with predictions of a 60% surge in ETH prices following a similar market reaction observed after spot Bitcoin ETF approvals earlier this year.

Current Ethereum Price Dynamics

Despite positive forecasts, Ethereum is currently facing price struggles, standing at $3,544. The failure to surpass key resistance points has resulted in cautious trading, with the price hovering below $3,550. Analysts caution against potential downward risks if Ethereum fails to sustain support above $3,420, which may lead to further declines towards $3,250.

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