In 2025, prediction markets continue to evolve from speculative games to more structured and efficient tools. The focus is on regulatory compliance, social integration, and enhancing data visibility.
KALSHI: A Sample of the US Compliance Prediction Market
Kalshi has become the first prediction market regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, ensuring the legality of 'event contracts.' The company has integrated its services with Robinhood, allowing users to forecast events such as sports games and elections. Kalshi is also working on implementing an AI-based forecasting system in collaboration with xAI.
MYRIADMARKETS: Socially Native Predictions
Myriad Markets offers a platform for real-time event predictions, embedding functionality into news and social media. Users can make predictions while reading news articles, enhancing content engagement. The project supports MetaMask wallet integration and offers various prediction modes, including using real funds.
DRIFT-BET: Integration of Derivatives and Predictions
Drift expands its capabilities by offering new prediction market features within its derivatives platform. This solution allows users to combine trading derivatives with prediction outputs using a single margin account. The platform aims to enhance capital efficiency by pooling funds between the two types of trading.
Despite significant progress in the development of prediction markets, the true potential remains largely untapped. Building infrastructure for efficient capital management and risk may significantly change the market, turning it into a reliable tool for information pricing.
