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Three Reasons Bitcoin (BTC) Could Rally in August 2025

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

3 days ago


August 2025 could be significant for Bitcoin (BTC) for several reasons. Despite recent price drops, there are factors indicating the potential for asset growth.

Bitcoin's Historical Performance in August

Over the past 11 years, Bitcoin has finished August in the green only four times: in 2013, 2017, 2020, and 2021. Notably, in halving years, Bitcoin has typically closed the month with gains.

Lowering US Interest Rates

According to the latest employment data report, the US economy has proven weaker than expected, potentially prompting the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates. The odds of such a move in September have increased to almost 80%, which may fuel interest in riskier investments like cryptocurrencies.

BTC's MVRV Analysis

Bitcoin's MVRV ratio has fluctuated between 2.2 and 2.4, indicating potential for further appreciation. Historically, levels above 3.7 have corresponded with market tops, while values under 1 have aligned with market lows.

Analyzing factors such as historical performance, economic policy changes, and MVRV values suggests that August 2025 may present Bitcoin with new opportunities for growth.

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