Recently, Toncoin (TON) has shown stability amid market fluctuations. We will examine technical analysis, fundamental factors, and price forecasts for December 2025.
Toncoin Chart Analysis
Since early July, the price of Toncoin has been in a broad upward channel, making higher highs in the $6.20–$6.40 region. After peaking just below $7.50 at the end of July, the price corrected but then rallied back strongly near $6.35, where strong buying activity was observed.
The latest rally attempt on the 4-hour chart is testing the mid-channel resistance at $6.95. A breakout above $7 could lead to a retest of July’s highs, while a rejection could pull TON back towards the $6.50 area.
Trading volume in the past 24 hours has jumped nearly 39% to $296M — notable growth given the stable price, often indicating accumulation by large players rather than broad retail buying.
Open interest has shown a slight increase, suggesting more traders are opening new positions rather than closing old ones.
Net long positions are gradually increasing after a mid-July dip, indicating growing bullish sentiment. Meanwhile, net shorts have remained steady, suggesting sellers haven't exerted significant pressure despite TON’s resilience.
Fundamental Factors for Toncoin
On August 11, the TON Foundation reported that Coinbase Ventures purchased TON tokens directly from Telegram, along with Sequoia and Paradigm. While the scope of the purchase was not disclosed, this signals institutional belief in Toncoin’s long-term potential.
Such activities reduce perceived risks for retail investors and can ultimately lead to a possible listing on Coinbase. It also strengthens TON’s positioning as a ‘crypto for the masses’ through Telegram’s vast network of over 1 billion users.
Traders should keep an eye on confirmations of Coinbase Custody support or listing timelines, as either could serve as a strong catalyst. While the price of TON remained steady, the broader market fell by 2% ahead of the US CPI data release. This divergence suggests TON’s move was driven by dedicated buyers.
Toncoin Price Prediction for December 2025
Considering the combination of technical resilience and strong institutional interest, there are projections that if Toncoin can maintain its current price channel and secure a breakout above $7.50 in the upcoming weeks, the path to $10 becomes realistic within the next 12 months.
By December 2025, with continued adoption through Telegram mini-apps and a potential Coinbase listing, the price of TON could be trading in the $11–$14 range.
In a more aggressive scenario, if TON captures substantial retail adoption via Telegram’s ecosystem and benefits from a strong 2025 bull cycle, price projections could reach $15–$17. Conversely, failing to hold support above $6 in the coming months could send the price back to $5, delaying major upward movements until late 2026.
The current position of Toncoin demonstrates stable buyer interest, supported by institutional investments. However, future price dynamics may be contingent on broader market conditions and trader sentiment.
